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China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.Li Dongsheng said that low-price competition has no way out, and it will only get involved. On December 11th, at TCL Global Innovation Conference, founder Li Dongsheng said that in the current market competition, low-price competition has no way out, and it will only get involved in endless "involution". To surpass its competitors, it is necessary to strive for more breakthroughs in high-end products. He Jun, vice president of TCL Industry, talked about the current development of industrial software enterprises in China in a subsequent interview. He also said that from the aspects of financing environment and market support for enterprises, China is not an environment where good software enterprises can be born at present, but in the long run, industrial software may make a breakthrough in China software, and this time will not be very fast, and it will not be seen for three or five years.On the afternoon of December 13th, the Central District Court of Seoul, South Korea, examined the necessity of the arrest of Zhao Zhihao, director of the police department, and Zhao Zhihao, director of the police department suspected of participating in the emergency martial law incident. On the 11th, the special investigation team for emergency martial law of the National Investigation Department of the South Korean Police made an emergency arrest on the suspicion of "civil unrest" against the police chiefs of Zhao Zhihao and Seoul, and applied to the court for their arrest warrants on the 12th. Later, Kim Fung-sik said that he would give up attending the review on the necessity of arrest. On 13th, Zhao Zhihao didn't answer a reporter's question after arriving at Seoul Central District Court, but his defense lawyer said that Zhao Zhihao "opposed martial law and wanted to protect democracy, not the object of punishment". The police believe that Zhao Zhihao and Jin Fengzhi met with Yin Xiyue and participated in the martial law plan before the martial law was issued by South Korean President Yin Xiyue, and assisted Yin Xiyue in enforcing martial law by sending police to control the National Assembly. Zhao Zhihao is also suspected of sending police to the Central Electoral Affairs Commission to help enforce martial law. The Seoul Central District Court will make a decision on whether to issue an arrest warrant for them late at night on the 13th or early on the 14th. (CCTV News)

On the 13th, SSE 50 index futures fell by 2.58%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, SSE 50 index futures closed at 2,412, up or down by -2.58%, with a turnover of 53,000 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 7,398 lots. The total number of contracts of SSE 50 index futures was 91,500 lots, an increase of 25,700 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 88,200 lots, an increase of 2,257 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 113,700 lots, an increase of 1,701 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)SHIBOR reported 1.4040% overnight, down by 7.80 basis points. In 7 days, SHIBOR reported 1.7580%, up 12.30 basis points. SHIBOR reported 1.7350% in three months, down by 0.50 basis point.AI glasses ushered in the limelight, and Google reached a cooperation with domestic manufacturers. According to the news, on December 13, at the Android XR conference, Google reached a strategic cooperation with domestic consumer-grade AR glasses manufacturer XREAL to jointly build the Android XR ecosystem. According to media reports, OPPO, vivo, Huawei, Tencent and ByteDance are all evaluating the AI glasses project. In addition, a number of listed companies said on the investor question and answer platform that they have corresponding technology or product reserves in AI glasses. Huaxin Securities Research Report pointed out that AI glasses have become a new outlet in the smart wear market, or lead the next generation of terminal revolution. AI glasses not only have the effect of virtual vision enhancement, but also realize real-time analysis of user behavior and environment by integrating artificial intelligence algorithms, providing more accurate and personalized services. AI glasses also improve comfort and prolong wearing time in design and portability. At the same time, it provides a more natural and convenient interactive experience innovation through various sensing technologies. With the gradual reduction of costs, AI glasses are expected to be further widely used. According to the report of Wellsenn XR, it is estimated that after 2030, the AI+AR smart glasses industry will enter a period of rapid development; By 2035, AI+AR smart glasses will eventually replace traditional smart glasses, and the global sales of AI+AR smart glasses will reach 1.4 billion units, which is equivalent to the size of smart phones and will become the next generation general computing platform and terminal. (Securities Times)

Hyundai Motor set up 200 million technology companies in Shanghai, including a number of AI-related businesses. According to Tianyancha App, Hyundai Kemo (Shanghai) Technology Co., Ltd. was recently established, with NOH YONG HO as the legal representative and a registered capital of 213 million RMB. Its business scope includes application system integration services in artificial intelligence industry, Internet of Things application services, data processing services, artificial intelligence basic software development, artificial intelligence application software development, artificial intelligence theory and algorithm software development, etc. According to shareholder information, the company is wholly owned by Hyundai Motor Co., Ltd.On the 13th, the 30-year treasury bond futures rose by 0.60%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the data of the exchange, as of December 13th, the main contract 30-year treasury bond futures closed at 2503, up or down by +0.60%, with a turnover of 71,900 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 3,777 lots. The total number of 30-year treasury bond futures contracts was 82,700 lots, an increase of 4,416 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 78,000 lots, a decrease of 1,313 lots from the previous day. The top 20 seats in the contract held 85,000 short positions, a decrease of 1,049 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.